Cognitive Biases in Decision Making

~60 min · 15 stations

Start reading — Station 01

Conductor

The Conductor

Mind the gaps in your own reasoning as we navigate the tracks of cognitive bias. Board this train to master the logic that keeps your decision-making on the rails and off the derailments.

What you will learn

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FOUNDATION

Establishes the core vocabulary and essential context you need before going further.

Examine the statistical mechanics of the Monty Hall problem

Station 01: The Monty Hall Dilemma

Define mental shortcuts used during complex decision processes

Station 02: Defining Heuristics

Analyze how emotional states influence human choice patterns

Station 03: The Role of Emotion

CORE CONCEPTS

Unpacks the ideas and principles that the subject is built on.

Calculate simple outcomes in independent event scenarios

Station 04: Probability Basics

Evaluate how recent memories distort our perception of risk

Station 05: Availability Bias

Examine the psychological weight assigned to losing versus winning

Station 06: Loss Aversion Theory

Trace the tendency to favor information supporting existing beliefs

Station 07: Confirmation Patterns

MECHANICS

Examines how things actually work — the processes, rules, and systems in action.

Apply new evidence to refine existing probability estimates

Station 08: Bayesian Updating

Assess the impact of past investments on future choices

Station 09: Sunk Cost Fallacy

Analyze how information presentation changes our final response

Station 10: Framing Effects

APPLICATION

Puts knowledge to use through real-world scenarios and practical problems.

Examine how social pressure impacts collective decision outcomes

Station 11: Groupthink Dynamics

Trace the gap between perceived skill and actual performance

Station 12: Overconfidence Bias

Evaluate how initial numbers shape our subsequent estimations

Station 13: Anchoring Influence

SYNTHESIS

Connects everything together and explores broader implications and open questions.

Develop methods to mitigate cognitive errors in daily life

Station 14: Debiasing Strategies

Synthesize logical tools for improved long term outcomes

Station 15: Rationality in Practice

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General Public / 9th GradeAI Generated · gemini-3.1-flash-lite

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